本發明涉(she)及智慧能源綜合(he)(he)管控，具體是涉(she)及基于信息物(wu)理的智慧能源綜合(he)(he)管控方法及系統。

背景技術：

1、基于信(xin)(xin)息物理的(de)智慧能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)綜合管控方法整合了信(xin)(xin)息技(ji)(ji)術和物理技(ji)(ji)術，通過數據(ju)(ju)采集(ji)、大(da)數據(ju)(ju)分(fen)析和人工智能(neng)(neng)(neng)，實現能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)生(sheng)產、傳(chuan)輸、儲存(cun)和使(shi)用的(de)智能(neng)(neng)(neng)化管理與優化。此系統可應用于智能(neng)(neng)(neng)電網、可再生(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)集(ji)成(cheng)、能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)存(cun)儲管理、建筑(zhu)與城市能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)優化等領域，提升(sheng)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)利用效(xiao)率、降低成(cheng)本(ben)、推(tui)動能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)清(qing)潔化和可持(chi)續發展。

2、目前(qian)，現有(you)的智慧(hui)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)綜合管控方(fang)法(fa)通常是基于歷史(shi)數據進(jin)(jin)行分析，實現對電(dian)力(li)(li)(li)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)生產(chan)及用量的智慧(hui)化管理，但歷史(shi)數據的數據龐大且具(ju)有(you)不(bu)可預(yu)測性，傳(chuan)統的電(dian)力(li)(li)(li)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)用量預(yu)測方(fang)法(fa)處(chu)理非常緩慢，往(wang)往(wang)需(xu)要花費很(hen)長的時間(jian)，甚(shen)至有(you)時會(hui)因預(yu)測模型穩定性差，而導(dao)致(zhi)(zhi)預(yu)測失真(zhen)，從而無法(fa)對電(dian)力(li)(li)(li)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)進(jin)(jin)行合理的管控，進(jin)(jin)而導(dao)致(zhi)(zhi)電(dian)力(li)(li)(li)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)利用率低，為(wei)此需(xu)要提供基于信息物理的智慧(hui)能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)綜合管控方(fang)法(fa)及系統來解決上述(shu)提出的問題。

技術實現思路

1、為解決(jue)上(shang)述技術(shu)問題(ti)，提供基于信息(xi)物(wu)理(li)(li)的智(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)慧能(neng)源(yuan)綜合(he)管(guan)控方(fang)(fang)法(fa)及系統，本(ben)技術(shu)方(fang)(fang)案解決(jue)了上(shang)述背景技術(shu)中提出(chu)現有的智(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)慧能(neng)源(yuan)綜合(he)管(guan)控方(fang)(fang)法(fa)通常是基于歷史數據(ju)進行(xing)分析，實現對(dui)(dui)電(dian)力(li)能(neng)源(yuan)生產及用(yong)量(liang)的智(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)慧化管(guan)理(li)(li)，但歷史數據(ju)的數據(ju)龐(pang)大且具有不可預(yu)測性，傳統的電(dian)力(li)能(neng)源(yuan)用(yong)量(liang)預(yu)測方(fang)(fang)法(fa)處(chu)理(li)(li)非常緩(huan)慢，往往需要花費很長的時間(jian)，甚至(zhi)有時會因預(yu)測模型(xing)穩定(ding)性差，而導(dao)致預(yu)測失真，從而無法(fa)對(dui)(dui)電(dian)力(li)能(neng)源(yuan)進行(xing)合(he)理(li)(li)的管(guan)控，進而導(dao)致電(dian)力(li)能(neng)源(yuan)利用(yong)率低的問題(ti)。

2、為達到以(yi)上目的，本發明(ming)采用的技術(shu)方案(an)為：

3、基于(yu)信息物理的智慧能源綜合管(guan)控方法，包括：

4、獲取區域節點數據和(he)能源(yuan)管理系(xi)統數據；

5、根據(ju)能源管(guan)理(li)系統數據(ju)，獲取區域節點(dian)的實時(shi)區域用電影響因(yin)素數據(ju)和(he)歷史區域用電影響因(yin)素數據(ju)；

6、根(gen)據(ju)所述區域節(jie)點(dian)數據(ju)和(he)實(shi)時區域用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數據(ju)，獲取(qu)工業節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子、商業節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子和(he)住(zhu)宅節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子；

7、根據(ju)所(suo)述工業節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影響(xiang)(xiang)因子、商(shang)業節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影響(xiang)(xiang)因子和住宅節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影響(xiang)(xiang)因子，獲取工業節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)預測數(shu)據(ju)、商(shang)業節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)預測數(shu)據(ju)和住宅節(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)(qiu)預測數(shu)據(ju)；

8、將所述工業節點(dian)用電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求預測數(shu)據、商業節點(dian)用電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求預測數(shu)據和住(zhu)宅節點(dian)用電(dian)(dian)需(xu)求預測數(shu)據發送至預警信(xin)息能源管控中(zhong)心；

9、根據預警(jing)信息能(neng)源管控中心，獲取電(dian)力能(neng)源預警(jing)報告；

10、根據所述電(dian)力能源預(yu)警報告，采取相(xiang)應的能源管控策(ce)略(lve)。

11、在可(ke)選(xuan)的實施(shi)例中，根據(ju)所述區域(yu)節(jie)點數(shu)據(ju)和(he)實時區域(yu)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)因素數(shu)據(ju)，獲取(qu)工業節(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)(zi)(zi)、商業節(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)(zi)(zi)和(he)住宅節(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)(zi)(zi)，具體包括：

12、根據所(suo)述(shu)區(qu)域節(jie)點數(shu)據，獲取歷史工業用電量信(xin)息；

13、將(jiang)所述歷史工業用電(dian)量信(xin)息與歷史區域用電(dian)影響因(yin)素數據進行關(guan)聯分析，獲取歷史工業用電(dian)影響因(yin)素信(xin)息；

14、基(ji)于卷積神經網絡，將所述歷史(shi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影響(xiang)(xiang)因素信(xin)息按照預設工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征(zheng)(zheng)類型進行特征(zheng)(zheng)提(ti)取，獲(huo)取第(di)一工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣本(ben)(ben)集(ji)、第(di)二工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣本(ben)(ben)集(ji)、第(di)三(san)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣本(ben)(ben)集(ji)和第(di)四(si)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣本(ben)(ben)集(ji)；

15、將所述第一工(gong)業影(ying)響特(te)(te)征子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)本(ben)集(ji)(ji)、第二工(gong)業影(ying)響特(te)(te)征子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)本(ben)集(ji)(ji)、第三(san)工(gong)業影(ying)響特(te)(te)征子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)本(ben)集(ji)(ji)和第四工(gong)業影(ying)響特(te)(te)征子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)本(ben)集(ji)(ji)分(fen)別按照8:1:1的比例進行數據劃分(fen)，得到每個子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)本(ben)集(ji)(ji)對應的工(gong)業影(ying)響特(te)(te)征訓練集(ji)(ji)、驗證(zheng)集(ji)(ji)和測試(shi)集(ji)(ji)；

16、基于工(gong)業(ye)影響特征訓練(lian)集，獲取工(gong)業(ye)影響特征歸一化參數；

17、基于所述工(gong)業影(ying)(ying)響特征歸一化參(can)數，對工(gong)業影(ying)(ying)響特征訓練(lian)集、驗證集和(he)測試集進行歸一化處理(li)，得到工(gong)業影(ying)(ying)響特征標準訓練(lian)集、驗證集和(he)測試集；

18、根據工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)征標準訓練(lian)集(ji)、驗證集(ji)和測(ce)試集(ji)，獲(huo)取(qu)第一工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)征參數、第二工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)征參數、第三工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)征參數和第四工(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)征參數；

19、將第一工業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特(te)(te)征參數(shu)(shu)、第二工業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特(te)(te)征參數(shu)(shu)、第三工業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特(te)(te)征參數(shu)(shu)和第四(si)工業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特(te)(te)征參數(shu)(shu)作為(wei)新特(te)(te)征訓練(lian)工業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特(te)(te)征元(yuan)模型，得到工業(ye)(ye)節點用電影(ying)(ying)響因子(zi)。

20、在可選(xuan)的實施例中(zhong)，根據(ju)所述區(qu)域節(jie)點數據(ju)和實時區(qu)域用電影響(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素數據(ju)，獲取工業(ye)節(jie)點用電影響(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子、商(shang)業(ye)節(jie)點用電影響(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子和住(zhu)宅節(jie)點用電影響(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子，具體包括：

21、根據所述(shu)區域節(jie)點(dian)數據，獲取(qu)歷(li)史商業用電量信(xin)息(xi)；

22、將所(suo)述歷(li)史商業用電量(liang)信息與歷(li)史區域用電影(ying)響因素數據(ju)進行關聯分析，獲取(qu)歷(li)史商業用電影(ying)響因素信息；

23、基于長短期記憶網(wang)絡，將所述歷史商(shang)(shang)業(ye)用電影響(xiang)因素信(xin)息按照預設商(shang)(shang)業(ye)用電影響(xiang)特(te)(te)征類型進行特(te)(te)征提取，獲取第一商(shang)(shang)業(ye)影響(xiang)特(te)(te)征子樣(yang)本(ben)集、第二(er)商(shang)(shang)業(ye)影響(xiang)特(te)(te)征子樣(yang)本(ben)集和第三商(shang)(shang)業(ye)影響(xiang)特(te)(te)征子樣(yang)本(ben)集；

24、將所(suo)述第(di)一商(shang)(shang)業影響(xiang)特(te)征(zheng)子樣(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)二商(shang)(shang)業影響(xiang)特(te)征(zheng)子樣(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)和第(di)三商(shang)(shang)業影響(xiang)特(te)征(zheng)子樣(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)分別按照8:1:1的比例進行數據(ju)劃分，得(de)到每(mei)個子樣(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)對應的商(shang)(shang)業影響(xiang)特(te)征(zheng)訓練集(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗證(zheng)集(ji)(ji)(ji)和測試(shi)集(ji)(ji)(ji)；

25、基于(yu)商業(ye)影響(xiang)特征訓練集，獲(huo)取商業(ye)影響(xiang)特征歸一化參數；

26、基于所述商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特征歸一(yi)化(hua)參數，對商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特征訓練(lian)集(ji)、驗(yan)證集(ji)和(he)測試(shi)集(ji)進行歸一(yi)化(hua)處理，得到商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)響特征標(biao)準訓練(lian)集(ji)、驗(yan)證集(ji)和(he)測試(shi)集(ji)；

27、根據商業(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)標準訓練集(ji)、驗證集(ji)和(he)測試集(ji)，獲(huo)取第一商業(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)參數(shu)(shu)、第二商業(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)參數(shu)(shu)和(he)第三(san)商業(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)參數(shu)(shu)；

28、將第(di)(di)一商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參數、第(di)(di)二商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參數和第(di)(di)三商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參數作為新特(te)征訓練商(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征元(yuan)模型，得(de)到商(shang)業(ye)(ye)節點用電影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因子(zi)。

29、在可選(xuan)的(de)實(shi)施例(li)中，根據(ju)所述區(qu)域(yu)節點數據(ju)和(he)實(shi)時區(qu)域(yu)用(yong)電影(ying)響因(yin)素數據(ju)，獲取(qu)工業節點用(yong)電影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)、商業節點用(yong)電影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)和(he)住(zhu)宅節點用(yong)電影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)，具體包括：

30、根據所述區域節點數據，獲取歷史住(zhu)宅用電量信息；

31、將所述(shu)歷史(shi)住(zhu)宅用電(dian)量信息(xi)與歷史(shi)區域用電(dian)影響因素(su)數據進行關聯分(fen)析，獲取歷史(shi)住(zhu)宅用電(dian)影響因素(su)信息(xi)；

32、基于卷積神經網(wang)絡(luo)，將所述歷史住宅用電(dian)(dian)影響因素信息按照預(yu)設住宅用電(dian)(dian)影響特征(zheng)類(lei)型進行特征(zheng)提取，獲取第(di)一住宅影響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣本集(ji)、第(di)二住宅影響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣本集(ji)和第(di)三住宅影響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣本集(ji)；

33、將所述第一住(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)、第二住(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)和第三住(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響特征(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)分別按照8:1:1的比例進行數據劃(hua)分，得到每個子(zi)樣(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)對應的住(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響特征(zheng)訓練(lian)集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗(yan)證集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)和測試(shi)集(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)；

34、基于住(zhu)宅(zhai)影響特(te)征訓練集，獲取住(zhu)宅(zhai)影響特(te)征歸一化參數；

35、基于所述住(zhu)宅影響(xiang)特(te)征歸(gui)(gui)一化參(can)數，對住(zhu)宅影響(xiang)特(te)征訓練(lian)集、驗證(zheng)集和測試(shi)集進行歸(gui)(gui)一化處理，得到住(zhu)宅影響(xiang)特(te)征標準訓練(lian)集、驗證(zheng)集和測試(shi)集；

36、根據住(zhu)(zhu)宅影(ying)(ying)響特(te)征標準(zhun)訓練集、驗證(zheng)集和測試集，獲取第(di)一(yi)住(zhu)(zhu)宅影(ying)(ying)響特(te)征參(can)數、第(di)二(er)住(zhu)(zhu)宅影(ying)(ying)響特(te)征參(can)數和第(di)三住(zhu)(zhu)宅影(ying)(ying)響特(te)征參(can)數；

37、將第一住(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參(can)數、第二住(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參(can)數和第三住(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征參(can)數作(zuo)為(wei)新特(te)征訓練住(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特(te)征元模(mo)型，得(de)到住(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)節點(dian)用電影(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因子。

38、在可選(xuan)的實(shi)施例中(zhong)，根據(ju)所述工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電影響因子、商業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電影響因子和住宅(zhai)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電影響因子，獲取工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電需求(qiu)(qiu)預(yu)測數(shu)據(ju)、商業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電需求(qiu)(qiu)預(yu)測數(shu)據(ju)和住宅(zhai)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電需求(qiu)(qiu)預(yu)測數(shu)據(ju)，具(ju)體包(bao)括：

39、根(gen)據(ju)所(suo)述實(shi)時區域用電影響因素(su)數(shu)據(ju)，獲取(qu)工業實(shi)時影響特征數(shu)據(ju)；

40、根(gen)據(ju)所述工業實時(shi)影響特征數(shu)(shu)據(ju)，獲取(qu)環境因(yin)素參(can)數(shu)(shu)、行(xing)業類別因(yin)素參(can)數(shu)(shu)能源政策因(yin)素參(can)數(shu)(shu)和生(sheng)產規模因(yin)素參(can)數(shu)(shu)；

41、根據(ju)所述環境因素參數(shu)、行(xing)業類別因素參數(shu)、能源政(zheng)策因素參數(shu)、生產規模因素參數(shu)和工業節點用電影響(xiang)因子(zi)，獲取(qu)工業節點用電需求(qiu)預測數(shu)據(ju)：

42、

43、式中，g表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點(dian)用電需求預(yu)測(ce)量，β0表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)截距項(xiang)，β1表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)環境(jing)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)，β2表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)類別(bie)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)，β3表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)能源政策(ce)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)，β4表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)生產規模因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)，eenv表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)環境(jing)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)，eind表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)環境(jing)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)，epolicy表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)環境(jing)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)，sprod表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)環境(jing)因(yin)素(su)(su)(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)，fnode,i表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)第i個工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點(dian)用電影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)(zi)，γi為(wei)對應的(de)(de)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點(dian)用電影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)(zi)的(de)(de)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)，n表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)點(dian)的(de)(de)總數(shu)，∈表(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)誤差項(xiang)。

44、在可選的實施例中(zhong)，根據所(suo)述工業(ye)節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)子(zi)、商(shang)業(ye)節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)子(zi)和(he)住宅節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)子(zi)，獲取(qu)工業(ye)節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電需(xu)求預(yu)(yu)測(ce)數據、商(shang)業(ye)節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電需(xu)求預(yu)(yu)測(ce)數據和(he)住宅節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電需(xu)求預(yu)(yu)測(ce)數據，具體包括(kuo)：

45、根據所述實時(shi)區域用電影響因素數據，獲取商業(ye)實時(shi)影響特征數據；

46、根據所(suo)述商業實時影響(xiang)特(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)數(shu)據，獲取(qu)時間(jian)特(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因素參(can)數(shu)、天氣(qi)特(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因素參(can)數(shu)和業務類(lei)型特(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因素參(can)數(shu)；

47、根(gen)據所述(shu)時間特征因素參數、天氣特征因素參數和業務類型特征因素參數和商(shang)業節(jie)點用電影響因子(zi)，獲取(qu)商(shang)業節(jie)點用電需求預測數據：

48、

49、式中(zhong)，s表(biao)示(shi)商業(ye)節(jie)點用(yong)(yong)電需(xu)求預測量，α0表(biao)示(shi)截距項，αt表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)t個(ge)時間特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系數(shu)，tt表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)t個(ge)時間特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)，β表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)j個(ge)天氣特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系數(shu)，wj表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)j個(ge)天氣特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)，εk表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)k個(ge)業(ye)務(wu)(wu)類型特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)系數(shu)，bk表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)k個(ge)業(ye)務(wu)(wu)類型特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)，fl表(biao)示(shi)第(di)(di)l個(ge)商業(ye)節(jie)點用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子，δl為(wei)商業(ye)節(jie)點用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子對應的(de)(de)系數(shu)，h表(biao)示(shi)時間特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)數(shu)，m表(biao)示(shi)天氣特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)數(shu)，p表(biao)示(shi)業(ye)務(wu)(wu)類型特(te)(te)征(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)數(shu)的(de)(de)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)數(shu)，q表(biao)示(shi)商業(ye)節(jie)點用(yong)(yong)電影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子的(de)(de)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)數(shu)，表(biao)示(shi)誤(wu)差(cha)項。

50、在可選的實施例中(zhong)，根據(ju)(ju)所述工(gong)業(ye)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)、商(shang)業(ye)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)和住(zhu)宅(zhai)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子(zi)，獲取工(gong)業(ye)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預測(ce)數據(ju)(ju)、商(shang)業(ye)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預測(ce)數據(ju)(ju)和住(zhu)宅(zhai)節(jie)點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預測(ce)數據(ju)(ju)，具體包括：

51、根據所述實時區域(yu)用(yong)電影響(xiang)因素數(shu)據，獲取住宅實時影響(xiang)特(te)征數(shu)據；

52、根據所述住宅實時(shi)(shi)影響特征(zheng)(zheng)數據，獲取時(shi)(shi)間特征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)素參數、天氣(qi)特征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)素參數和居(ju)住特征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)素參數；

53、根據(ju)所述時間特(te)征(zheng)因(yin)素參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、天氣特(te)征(zheng)因(yin)素參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)(he)居(ju)住(zhu)特(te)征(zheng)因(yin)素參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)(he)住(zhu)宅節點用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)響因(yin)子(zi)，獲取住(zhu)宅節點用(yong)(yong)電(dian)需(xu)求預(yu)測數(shu)(shu)據(ju)：

54、

55、式(shi)中，z表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)住(zhu)(zhu)宅節點(dian)用電(dian)需求(qiu)預測量(liang)，τ0表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)截距項，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第a0個(ge)時(shi)(shi)間(jian)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第a0個(ge)時(shi)(shi)間(jian)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第b0個(ge)天氣特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第b0個(ge)天氣特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第c0個(ge)居(ju)住(zhu)(zhu)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第c0個(ge)居(ju)住(zhu)(zhu)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)第d0個(ge)住(zhu)(zhu)宅節點(dian)用電(dian)影(ying)響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子，為住(zhu)(zhu)宅節點(dian)用電(dian)影(ying)響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子對(dui)應的(de)(de)(de)(de)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，a表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)時(shi)(shi)間(jian)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)總數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，b表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)天氣特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)總數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，c表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)居(ju)住(zhu)(zhu)特(te)(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)(su)參(can)(can)(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)總數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，d表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)住(zhu)(zhu)宅節點(dian)用電(dian)影(ying)響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子的(de)(de)(de)(de)總數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，表(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)(biao)示(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)誤差(cha)項。

56、進一步的(de)，提出基于信息物理(li)的(de)智慧能源綜合管(guan)(guan)控(kong)系統(tong)，用(yong)于實現上述(shu)的(de)管(guan)(guan)控(kong)方法，包括：

57、主控制模(mo)塊，所述主控制模(mo)塊用(yong)(yong)于(yu)(yu)(yu)將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述歷(li)史(shi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)信(xin)息(xi)與(yu)(yu)歷(li)史(shi)區(qu)域用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進(jin)行(xing)關(guan)聯分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)析，基于(yu)(yu)(yu)卷(juan)積(ji)神經網(wang)絡(luo)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述歷(li)史(shi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)息(xi)按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設工(gong)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類(lei)(lei)型(xing)(xing)進(jin)行(xing)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提(ti)取(qu)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述第(di)(di)(di)一(yi)(yi)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)(di)二工(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)(di)三工(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)(di)四(si)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)別按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進(jin)行(xing)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)史(shi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)信(xin)息(xi)與(yu)(yu)歷(li)史(shi)區(qu)域用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進(jin)行(xing)關(guan)聯分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)析，基于(yu)(yu)(yu)長短(duan)期記憶網(wang)絡(luo)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)史(shi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)息(xi)按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類(lei)(lei)型(xing)(xing)進(jin)行(xing)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提(ti)取(qu)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)第(di)(di)(di)一(yi)(yi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)(di)二商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)(di)三商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)別按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進(jin)行(xing)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)，得到(dao)每個(ge)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)對應的商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)訓練(lian)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗(yan)證集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)測試(shi)集(ji)(ji)(ji)，基于(yu)(yu)(yu)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)歸(gui)一(yi)(yi)化(hua)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)，對商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)訓練(lian)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗(yan)證集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)測試(shi)集(ji)(ji)(ji)進(jin)行(xing)歸(gui)一(yi)(yi)化(hua)處理，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)史(shi)住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)信(xin)息(xi)與(yu)(yu)歷(li)史(shi)區(qu)域用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進(jin)行(xing)關(guan)聯分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)析，基于(yu)(yu)(yu)卷(juan)積(ji)神經網(wang)絡(luo)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)史(shi)住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)息(xi)按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類(lei)(lei)型(xing)(xing)進(jin)行(xing)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提(ti)取(qu)，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)第(di)(di)(di)一(yi)(yi)住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)(di)二住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)(di)三住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)(zi)樣(yang)(yang)本集(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)別按照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進(jin)行(xing)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)，根(gen)據(ju)(ju)(ju)環(huan)境因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、行(xing)業(ye)(ye)類(lei)(lei)別因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、能源政策因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、生產規(gui)模(mo)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子(zi)(zi)，計算工(gong)業(ye)(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預測量(liang)(liang)，根(gen)據(ju)(ju)(ju)時(shi)間(jian)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、天氣特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)業(ye)(ye)務(wu)類(lei)(lei)型(xing)(xing)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子(zi)(zi)，獲取(qu)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預測量(liang)(liang)，根(gen)據(ju)(ju)(ju)時(shi)間(jian)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)、天氣特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)居住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)(shu)和(he)住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子(zi)(zi)，獲取(qu)住(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)宅(zhai)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預測量(liang)(liang)；

58、數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)獲取模(mo)塊(kuai)，所述數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)獲取模(mo)塊(kuai)用(yong)(yong)于獲取區域(yu)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)和能源管理系統數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、實時區域(yu)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、歷史(shi)(shi)區域(yu)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、電(dian)力能源預(yu)警報告、歷史(shi)(shi)工業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)信息、歷史(shi)(shi)商(shang)業(ye)(ye)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)信息、歷史(shi)(shi)住宅用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)信息、工業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子、商(shang)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子、住宅節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)子、工業(ye)(ye)實時影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、商(shang)業(ye)(ye)實時影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、住宅實時影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、工業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)需(xu)求預(yu)測(ce)(ce)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、商(shang)業(ye)(ye)節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)需(xu)求預(yu)測(ce)(ce)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)和住宅節(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)點(dian)(dian)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)需(xu)求預(yu)測(ce)(ce)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)；

59、數據(ju)傳(chuan)輸模(mo)塊，所述(shu)數據(ju)傳(chuan)輸模(mo)塊用(yong)于(yu)將工業節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)電(dian)需求預測數據(ju)、商業節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)電(dian)需求預測數據(ju)和住宅節點(dian)(dian)用(yong)電(dian)需求預測數據(ju)發送至預警信息能源管(guan)控中心；

60、顯示模塊(kuai)，所(suo)述顯示模塊(kuai)用(yong)(yong)于顯示主控制模塊(kuai)中得到的工業節點用(yong)(yong)電需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)量、商業節點用(yong)(yong)電需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)量和住宅節點用(yong)(yong)電需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)量。

61、在可(ke)選的實施例中，所(suo)述主控制模塊，具(ju)體包括：

62、數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)處(chu)理單(dan)元(yuan)，所述數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)處(chu)理單(dan)元(yuan)用(yong)于(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述歷(li)(li)史工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)量信(xin)(xin)(xin)息與(yu)(yu)歷(li)(li)史區(qu)域(yu)(yu)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進行關(guan)聯(lian)(lian)分析(xi)，基(ji)于(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)卷積神經網絡，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述歷(li)(li)史工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)(xin)息按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類型進行特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提取，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)所述第(di)(di)一(yi)工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)二工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)三(san)(san)工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)四工業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)分別按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進行數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃分，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)(li)史商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)量信(xin)(xin)(xin)息與(yu)(yu)歷(li)(li)史區(qu)域(yu)(yu)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進行關(guan)聯(lian)(lian)分析(xi)，基(ji)于(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)長短(duan)期(qi)記憶網絡，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)(li)史商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)(xin)息按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類型進行特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提取，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)第(di)(di)一(yi)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)二商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)三(san)(san)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)分別按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進行數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃分，得到每個子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)對(dui)應(ying)的商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)訓(xun)練集(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗證集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)測試集(ji)(ji)(ji)，基(ji)于(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)歸一(yi)化參數(shu)(shu)，對(dui)商(shang)(shang)(shang)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)訓(xun)練集(ji)(ji)(ji)、驗證集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)測試集(ji)(ji)(ji)進行歸一(yi)化處(chu)理，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)(li)史住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)用(yong)電(dian)量信(xin)(xin)(xin)息與(yu)(yu)歷(li)(li)史區(qu)域(yu)(yu)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)進行關(guan)聯(lian)(lian)分析(xi)，基(ji)于(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)卷積神經網絡，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)歷(li)(li)史住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)(xin)息按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)預設住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)類型進行特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)提取，將(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)第(di)(di)一(yi)住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)、第(di)(di)二住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)第(di)(di)三(san)(san)住(zhu)宅(zhai)(zhai)影(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)特(te)(te)(te)征(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)(zheng)子(zi)樣(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)(yang)本(ben)(ben)(ben)(ben)集(ji)(ji)(ji)分別按(an)照(zhao)(zhao)(zhao)8:1:1的比例(li)進行數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)劃分；

63、計(ji)算單元，所述計(ji)算單元用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)于根(gen)據環境(jing)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)、行(xing)業(ye)類別因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)、能源政策(ce)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)、生產規模因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)和(he)(he)工(gong)業(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子，計(ji)算工(gong)業(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預(yu)測量(liang)，根(gen)據時間(jian)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)、天(tian)氣(qi)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)和(he)(he)業(ye)務類型(xing)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)和(he)(he)商業(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子，獲取(qu)商業(ye)節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預(yu)測量(liang)，根(gen)據時間(jian)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)、天(tian)氣(qi)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)和(he)(he)居(ju)住(zhu)特(te)征(zheng)(zheng)因(yin)(yin)(yin)素(su)參(can)(can)數(shu)和(he)(he)住(zhu)宅節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)影響因(yin)(yin)(yin)子，獲取(qu)住(zhu)宅節點(dian)用(yong)(yong)(yong)(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)需(xu)求(qiu)預(yu)測量(liang)。

64、在可選的實(shi)施(shi)例中，所述數據獲取模塊，具體包(bao)括：

65、第一(yi)獲(huo)(huo)取單元，所述第一(yi)獲(huo)(huo)取單元用于獲(huo)(huo)取區域節點數(shu)據(ju)和能源管理(li)系(xi)統數(shu)據(ju)、實時區域用電影(ying)響(xiang)因素數(shu)據(ju)、歷史區域用電影(ying)響(xiang)因素數(shu)據(ju)和電力能源預警(jing)報告；

66、第二(er)(er)獲取(qu)單元，所述第二(er)(er)獲取(qu)單元用(yong)于獲取(qu)歷史工業(ye)用(yong)電(dian)量信息(xi)、歷史商業(ye)用(yong)電(dian)量信息(xi)、歷史住宅用(yong)電(dian)量信息(xi)、工業(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子、商業(ye)節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子和住宅節(jie)(jie)點用(yong)電(dian)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)因子；

67、第(di)三(san)(san)獲(huo)取單(dan)元，所述第(di)三(san)(san)獲(huo)取單(dan)元用(yong)于獲(huo)取工業(ye)實時(shi)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、商(shang)業(ye)實時(shi)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、住宅實時(shi)影響(xiang)(xiang)特征數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、工業(ye)節點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)、商(shang)業(ye)節點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)和住宅節點用(yong)電(dian)(dian)需求(qiu)預(yu)測(ce)數(shu)據(ju)(ju)(ju)。

68、與(yu)現(xian)有(you)技術相比，本發明的有(you)益效(xiao)果是：

69、本方案提出的(de)(de)基于信(xin)(xin)息物理的(de)(de)智慧能源(yuan)綜合管控方法及系統，通(tong)過卷積神經網絡和長短期記(ji)憶網絡分別提取(qu)歷(li)史工業用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)息、歷(li)史商(shang)業用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)息和歷(li)史住宅用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)信(xin)(xin)息中的(de)(de)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特征作為訓練集，得(de)到訓練結果，并將訓練結果作為新特征訓練商(shang)業影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)特征元模(mo)(mo)型(xing)(xing)，得(de)到工業節(jie)點、商(shang)業節(jie)點和住宅節(jie)點的(de)(de)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子，以三(san)者的(de)(de)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)子，獲取(qu)其各(ge)自的(de)(de)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)需求預(yu)(yu)測(ce)數據(ju)(ju)，可利用多(duo)個模(mo)(mo)型(xing)(xing)的(de)(de)優勢，彌補單一模(mo)(mo)型(xing)(xing)的(de)(de)不足(zu)，提高整(zheng)體預(yu)(yu)測(ce)的(de)(de)準確性；根據(ju)(ju)歷(li)史區(qu)域用電(dian)(dian)(dian)影(ying)(ying)(ying)響(xiang)(xiang)因(yin)(yin)素(su)數據(ju)(ju)確定合適(shi)的(de)(de)加權因(yin)(yin)子，以融(rong)合不同模(mo)(mo)型(xing)(xing)的(de)(de)預(yu)(yu)測(ce)結果，獲得(de)更(geng)準確的(de)(de)預(yu)(yu)測(ce)結果。